The water heater is a lot simpler than the truth; though you will see that that idea can go lots of interesting places and get quite complicated, too. Still, I figured that I would save that for another day.

People have been obsessed with truth (or TRUTH, as the case may be) for a very long time. Ancient philosophers from many traditions have contemplated this concept. There are many ancient symbols from different cultures that symbolize the truth. Where I went to graduate school the motto is “VERITAS” (NOTICE ALL
CAPITAL LETTERS). This is a one-word statement. It doesn't state whether it is good or bad, desirable or undesirable, or what one might do with “it” if one had “it.” Is this Mysterious? Or maybe they just haven't gotten around to thinking it through quite yet.When I teach epidemiology I make a point of going over the Criteria for
Judging Causality as originally proposed by Bradford Hill in 1953 (Hill AB. Observation and Experiment. N Engl J Med 1953;248:3-9.) and popularized in the 1964 Surgeon General's on Smoking and Health (U.S. Department of Health Education and Welfare. Smoking and Health: Report of the Advisory Committee to the Surgeon General of the Public Health Services. 1964; P.H.S. Publ. No. 1103, Washington, DC.). This is all about discerning the “signal” of truth from all the “noise” of error, confusion, and the deliberate intention of some to mislead.Of the six criteria listed in the 1964 Surgeon Genera
The reality is that the scientific method, in which we test whether
Oh, those inscrutable Westerners.

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